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FearDaTrees
01-25-2008, 01:53 PM
Drake loses a conferene game...or....evansville wins one?

gutwrencher
01-25-2008, 01:57 PM
EU will beat Mo State before the Bulldogs stumble.:bulldogs:

doublem23
01-25-2008, 04:25 PM
Evansville is pretty bad, and if Drake can get taken to the very last milli-second by the crappy, Ruffin-less Braves, I've got to believe someone is going to beat the Bulldogs.

shockball
01-25-2008, 05:28 PM
Best chance is Drake at Illinois State February 5. Evansville hosts WSU February 6.

SycamoreFanatic
01-25-2008, 06:08 PM
I'm thinking the Bulldogs come to Terre Haute on February 2nd.


:sycamores::innocent:

bcrawf
01-25-2008, 06:54 PM
No disrespect Aces, but I don't see you winning a Valley game. You are probably looking at 0-19. The team I saw in Cedar Falls was not anywhere close...

Drake will lose some ballgames. They still have tough trips to Cedar Falls, Carbondale, Normal, Terre Haute, and Springfield. I don't see them getting more than 14 Valley wins and probably 13-5...

Aargh
01-25-2008, 07:47 PM
WSU is down to:

2 Srs - Couisnard, Thomasson
2 Jrs - Clemente, Preadom
1 So - Mekel
3 Fr - Hatch, Ellis, Durley
1 Walkon - Harris

Even 2 walkons are hurt.

UE can win some games.

Odd tidbit: Jersey numbers 0 - 14 are all active. Of jersey numbers 15 - 33, only J.T.Durley (#31) is active.

Keita44
01-25-2008, 07:47 PM
No disrespect Aces, but I don't see you winning a Valley game. You are probably looking at 0-19. The team I saw in Cedar Falls was not anywhere close...

Drake will lose some ballgames. They still have tough trips to Cedar Falls, Carbondale, Normal, Terre Haute, and Springfield. I don't see them getting more than 14 Valley wins and probably 13-5...

So, you are saying they lose all five of those road games? Drake is currently 8-0 in the conference, so to go 13-5, we would have to go 5-5 in the last ten games. At Cedar Falls and at Springfield will be tough, but Drake will win both games. Evansville and Wichita State at home are both easy wins, and the Bulldogs will win against UNI tomorrow night. So, there are five wins, almost guaranteed.

That leaves the two ISUs on the road, SIU on the road, Creighton at home, and Bradley at home. Those are the only games Drake would have much more than a 5 percent chance to lose, so bcrawf, you think Drake will lose all 5 of these games?

We will beat InSU, Creighton, and Bradley. SIU will be tough, but I think we come away with the win. Illinois State is the one game we might drop, but you never know.

:bulldogs::bulldogs::bulldogs:

Mc Bulldog
01-25-2008, 08:07 PM
According to RPI Forecast, Drake's odds of overall record, without BB or any tourney games. -

Final Record Expected RPI Probability
25-1 7.0 6.28%
24-2 9.1 20.90%
23-3 12.5 31.45%
22-4 16.9 24.93%
21-5 23.4 12.09%
20-6 31.8 3.65%
19-7 43.1 0.62%
18-8 55.3 0.07%

RPI Forecast's odds on each game excluding BB or any tourney games -

Date Opponent (Expected RPI) Conf Loc Score Outcome Prob(W) Spread
11-10 St. Mary's (24.1) WCC A 66-72 L 0% 0.0
11-24 Wisconsin Milwaukee (137.0) Horz A 80-59 W 100% 0.0
11-30 North Carolina Central (319.2) ind H 85-48 W 100% 0.0
12-1 Duquesne (46.7) A10 H 77-73 W 100% 0.0
12-5 Iowa St. (134.1) B12 H 79-44 W 100% 0.0
12-7 Chicago St. (205.6) ind H 83-53 W 100% 0.0
12-8 Texas Pan American (287.5) ind H 83-55 W 100% 0.0
12-14 Iowa (198.7) B10 A 56-51 W 100% 0.0
12-29 Wichita St. (169.7) MVC A 62-54 W 100% 0.0
1-2 Southern Illinois (80.8) MVC H 61-51 W 100% 0.0
1-6 Evansville (261.0) MVC A 71-68 W 100% 0.0
1-9 Indiana St. (143.5) MVC H 75-50 W 100% 0.0
1-12 Missouri St. (118.4) MVC H 65-54 W 100% 0.0
1-16 Bradley (145.5) MVC A 69-68 W 100% 0.0
1-19 Illinois St. (49.4) MVC H 79-73 W 100% 0.0
1-22 Creighton (57.1) MVC A 68-60 W 100% 0.0
1-26 Northern Iowa (134.6) MVC H 0-0 89% 13.4
1-30 Creighton (57.1) MVC H 0-0 77% 8.2
2-2 Indiana St. (143.5) MVC A 0-0 79% 8.9
2-5 Illinois St. (49.4) MVC A 0-0 49% -0.2
2-9 Evansville (261.0) MVC H 0-0 98% 22.3
2-13 Southern Illinois (80.8) MVC A 0-0 58% 2.4
2-16 Northern Iowa (134.6) MVC A 0-0 67% 5.0
2-19 Bradley (145.5) MVC H 0-0 93% 16.2
2-26 Missouri St. (118.4) MVC A 0-0 69% 5.4
3-1 Wichita St. (169.7) MVC H 0-0 92% 15.9

Just click on Drake and you'll see the figures -
http://www.rpiforecast.com/

OK next -

College Rankings -

FUTURE GAMES Date Site Win Probability Margin Opponent

1/26/2008 Home 86.6% +11.0 #104 Northern Iowa
1/30/2008 Home 79.1% +7.6 #43 Creighton
2/2/2008 Away 75.6% +6.3 #114 Indiana St
2/5/2008 Away 53.6% +0.6 #44 Illinois St
2/9/2008 Home 96.9% +18.9 #256 Evansville
2/13/2008 Away 62.2% +2.5 #82 Southern Ill
2/16/2008 Away 70.7% +4.7 #104 Northern Iowa
2/19/2008 Home 90.3% +13.2 #124 Bradley
2/26/2008 Away 71.0% +4.8 #110 Missouri St
3/1/2008 Home 90.7% +13.4 #155 Wichita St

http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/drkpower.php3?q=Drake+Basketball

next -

Ken Pom ... not going to look at anymore. btchcraw wishes Coleman would impregnate his arsh.

bcrawf
01-25-2008, 08:12 PM
So, you are saying they lose all five of those road games? Drake is currently 8-0 in the conference, so to go 13-5, we would have to go 5-5 in the last ten games. At Cedar Falls and at Springfield will be tough, but Drake will win both games. Evansville and Wichita State at home are both easy wins, and the Bulldogs will win against UNI tomorrow night. So, there are five wins, almost guaranteed.

That leaves the two ISUs on the road, SIU on the road, Creighton at home, and Bradley at home. Those are the only games Drake would have much more than a 5 percent chance to lose, so bcrawf, you think Drake will lose all 5 of these games?

We will beat InSU, Creighton, and Bradley. SIU will be tough, but I think we come away with the win. Illinois State is the one game we might drop, but you never know.

:bulldogs::bulldogs::bulldogs:


I am just saying the conference season is a bizarre animal. I just don't think any team (No Offense to the Dogs) is going to go through without between 3 and 5 losses.

I think you will be regular season champs and will put yourselves in good shape to be a 4-6 seed in the tournament, but I just don't see anyway that you go 18-0, 17-1, 16-2. The last time anybody finished that well was 04 when SIU was 17-1...

bcrawf
01-25-2008, 08:18 PM
btchcraw wishes Coleman would impregnate his arsh.

I am actually the only UNI fan on earth that can't wait until he is gone. He is the only player I have seen that comes in as an impact freshman and then does not do anything in the way of improving any other aspect of his game in four years.

He never developed a mid range game, he slightly improved his free throw shooting, he never improved his conditioning, he never became a better athlete, he never became a better defender, and on and on and on...

The two most telling things on EC were that two years ago he was never on the floor during crunch time as Mac always went small. This year you get the same production if he plays 28 minutes or if he plays 35, I just feel like that is 7 wasted minutes per ballgame...

OK- Let me have it and tell me I'm wrong Panther Fans...

Mc Bulldog
01-25-2008, 08:47 PM
Your kill'n me bcrawf. :lol: Coleman leads your team in everything!

NORTHERN IOWA
Points - E. Coleman 12.6
Rebounds - E. Coleman 8.7
Assists - E. Coleman 1.9
Steals - E. Coleman .6
Blocks - E. Coleman 1.5

bcrawf
01-25-2008, 08:55 PM
Yes, he is statistically leading in every category, though it is a little misleading...

If Ahelegbe was healthy, he would not have the team lead in assists and steals. He is the only shot blocker on the team, Eglseder is a 7 footer, but not a great shot blocker...

But I am one hundred percent serious on everything I wrote, this is not a Dawg_Tired post, I think he could have been an even bigger force if he would have gotten into better shape...

shockball
01-25-2008, 08:58 PM
Coleman played one of the better games I've seen him play Wednesday. He points came within the offense. He rebounded and played defense. I know he's had better numbers in some games, but he was a better teammate this time around.

Make him go to his right.

underdawg2
01-25-2008, 10:49 PM
SIU will be tough, but I think we come away with the win.

:bulldogs::bulldogs::bulldogs:[/QUOTE]
:lol:

Magical thinking

9628
01-25-2008, 11:33 PM
Drake loses.

Awesome Sauce Malone
01-26-2008, 12:46 AM
Your kill'n me bcrawf. :lol: Coleman leads your team in everything!

NORTHERN IOWA
Points - E. Coleman 12.6
Rebounds - E. Coleman 8.7
Assists - E. Coleman 1.9
Steals - E. Coleman .6
Blocks - E. Coleman 1.5
Pushing little people from the opposite team down to the floor when frustrated - 1.0

sorry I had to do it.
Even though it happened last year

bleach
01-26-2008, 06:40 AM
I say whichever game is played first today.

AcePurple
01-26-2008, 07:30 AM
Evansville wins tonight, Drake wins tonight.

DUBulldog
01-26-2008, 08:02 AM
So, you are saying they lose all five of those road games? Drake is currently 8-0 in the conference, so to go 13-5, we would have to go 5-5 in the last ten games. At Cedar Falls and at Springfield will be tough, but Drake will win both games. Evansville and Wichita State at home are both easy wins, and the Bulldogs will win against UNI tomorrow night. So, there are five wins, almost guaranteed.

That leaves the two ISUs on the road, SIU on the road, Creighton at home, and Bradley at home. Those are the only games Drake would have much more than a 5 percent chance to lose, so bcrawf, you think Drake will lose all 5 of these games?

We will beat InSU, Creighton, and Bradley. SIU will be tough, but I think we come away with the win. Illinois State is the one game we might drop, but you never know.

:bulldogs::bulldogs::bulldogs:

Don't f with karma.

shockball
01-26-2008, 10:26 AM
Keita you can go to Vegas and make millions.

Shox21
01-26-2008, 04:06 PM
Best chance is Drake at Illinois State February 5. Evansville hosts WSU February 6.

Evansville, February 6,huh. That soon? Well ---- any more good news?

Keita44
01-26-2008, 04:15 PM
Keita you can go to Vegas and make millions.

Thanks? To be realistic, Drake is going to lose all of the rest of our games by a combined margin of about 10000.

Keita44
01-26-2008, 07:23 PM
EU will beat Mo State before the Bulldogs stumble.:bulldogs:

Nice guess gutwrencher.

Keita44
01-26-2008, 07:25 PM
Evansville wins tonight, Drake wins tonight.

Very nice predictions.

gutwrencher
01-26-2008, 09:36 PM
Thanks, Keita44!

Happy to see the Aces win. Well done, EU!

AcePurple
01-27-2008, 10:23 AM
Thanks, Keita44!

Happy to see the Aces win. Well done, EU!

Thanks, and congrats to you too, UD!